Wednesday, November 05, 2008

Week Nine Power Rankings

The little experiment I carried out last week proved to be pretty successful. I went 10-4 and finished in second place (out of 24) with 88 points. That was sort of bittersweet knowing I had second locked up on Sunday night, although it would have been preferable to have the Redskins win on Monday night and lose to the girl that won a few weeks back instead of having Pittsburgh count as another loss for me and causing me to finish behind the guy who runs the pool. He, coincidentally, also leads the season rankings, so while I didn't gain any ground on him—I fell a mere two points further behind him—I did move up three spots, going to fifth place for the year (out of 25) with 679 points. For the year, I'm now 80-50 (.615) which I can live with.

For the most part, last week's mildly scientific experiment did give a good sense of purpose to these Power Rankings. If nothing else could be more encouraging than finishing second, it was nice to crunch the numbers and find that now only four teams are in the red for me this year.

And no, I don't see Jacksonville ever getting positive this year.

Here's what else I found:

1. (1) DETROIT LIONS
  • Last week: Lost to Chicago, 27-23 (+14)
  • Actual Record: 0-8
  • My predicted record: 2-6
  • Points scored for me with wins: 0
  • Points scored for me with losses: 84
  • Points taken from me with wins: 0
  • Points taken from me with losses: 10
  • Plus/Minus: +74
  • "TELL ME HOW YOU REALLY FEEL":
That was an enjoyable little scare they put into Chicago last week. They're going to get a win sooner or later, and Jacksonville is currently the last sub-.500 team they play for the remainder of the season.
2. (2) NEW YORK GIANTS
  • Last week: Beat Dallas, 35-14 (+13)
  • Actual Record: 7-1
  • My predicted record: 7-1
  • Points scored for me with wins: 86
  • Points scored for me with losses: 0
  • Points taken from me with wins: 3
  • Points taken from me with losses: 12
  • Plus/Minus: +71
  • "TELL ME HOW YOU REALLY FEEL":
In all honesty, if the playoffs started today, I don't see any other team I'd pick to beat them.
3. (3) HOUSTON TEXANS
  • Last week: Lost to Minnesota, 28-21 (+6)
  • Actual Record: 3-5
  • My predicted record: 4-4
  • Points scored for me with wins: 29
  • Points scored for me with losses: 30
  • Points taken from me with wins: 0
  • Points taken from me with losses: 2
  • Plus/Minus: +57
  • "TELL ME HOW YOU REALLY FEEL":
They had been having remarkably good fortune at home for three straight games before going into Minnesota last week. The Ravens, however, will pose a far stiffer challenge than the Cincy, Detroit or Miami squads that came into Houston in October.
4. (6) PHILADELPHIA EAGLES
  • Last week: Beat Seattle, 26-7 (+10)
  • Actual Record: 5-3
  • My predicted record: 4-4
  • Points scored for me with wins: 38
  • Points scored for me with losses: 11
  • Points taken from me with wins: 1
  • Points taken from me with losses: 0
  • Plus/Minus: +48
  • "TELL ME HOW YOU REALLY FEEL":
Absolutely love this team——and with good reason. Tough break, having to play the Giants and all.
5. (7) ST. LOUIS RAMS
  • Last week: Lost to Arizona, 34-13 (+11)
  • Actual Record: 2-6
  • My predicted record: 0-8
  • Points scored for me with wins: 0
  • Points scored for me with losses: 69
  • Points taken from me with wins: 22
  • Points taken from me with losses: 0
  • Plus/Minus: +47
  • "TELL ME HOW YOU REALLY FEEL":
That was a pretty bad spanking they got from the Buzzsaw and I'm not exactly seeing them fare better in New York this weekend.
6. (4) SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS
  • Last week: BYE
  • Actual Record: 2-6
  • My predicted record: 2-6
  • Points scored for me with wins: 11
  • Points scored for me with losses: 45
  • Points taken from me with wins: 3
  • Points taken from me with losses: 10
  • Plus/Minus: +43
  • "TELL ME HOW YOU REALLY FEEL":
Well, Singletary certainly got our attention for the rest of the year.
7. (5) CINCINNATI BENGALS
  • Last week: Beat Jacksonville, 21-19 (+1)
  • Actual Record: 1-8
  • My predicted record: 3-6
  • Points scored for me with wins: 1
  • Points scored for me with losses: 61
  • Points taken from me with wins: 0
  • Points taken from me with losses: 20
  • Plus/Minus: +42
  • "TELL ME HOW YOU REALLY FEEL":
I'm not bragging about picking them last week for that first win of theirs because I wasn't the only one who did it (at least three others did too).

The rare team that wins a game and somehow moves down in the rankings.
8. (11) TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS
  • Last week: Beat Kansas City, 30-27 (+12)
  • Actual Record: 6-3
  • My predicted record: 5-4
  • Points scored for me with wins: 33
  • Points scored for me with losses: 21
  • Points taken from me with wins: 9
  • Points taken from me with losses: 8
  • Plus/Minus: +37
  • "TELL ME HOW YOU REALLY FEEL":
Pulling one out of their ass to get by lowly Kansas City doesn't exactly renew my faith in them.
9. (12) ARIZONA CARDINALS
  • Last week: Beat St. Louis, 34-13 (+11)
  • Actual Record: 5-3
  • My predicted record: 3-5
  • Points scored for me with wins: 25
  • Points scored for me with losses: 25
  • Points taken from me with wins: 16
  • Points taken from me with losses: 0
  • Plus/Minus: +34
  • "TELL ME HOW YOU REALLY FEEL":
They have to be the favorites out of the West, but really, are you that scared of them?
10. (9) NEW ORLEANS SAINTS
  • Last week: BYE
  • Actual Record: 4-4
  • My predicted record: 6-2
  • Points scored for me with wins: 35
  • Points scored for me with losses: 13
  • Points taken from me with wins: 0
  • Points taken from me with losses: 17
  • Plus/Minus: +31
  • "TELL ME HOW YOU REALLY FEEL":
Going into Atlanta is an awfully big game in the division, but the Saints have yet to win a game on the road this year (that little thing across the Atlantic was technically a "home" game for them).
11. (15) KANSAS CITY CHIEFS
  • Last week: Lost to Tampa Bay, 30-27 (+12)
  • Actual Record: 1-7
  • My predicted record: 1-7
  • Points scored for me with wins: 0
  • Points scored for me with losses: 56
  • Points taken from me with wins: 13
  • Points taken from me with losses: 13
  • Plus/Minus: +30
  • "TELL ME HOW YOU REALLY FEEL":
Following up from the previous team, the winless-on-the-road Saints could make for a nice homecoming after going into San Diego this weekend.
12. (12) MINNESOTA VIKINGS
  • Last week: Beat Houston, 28-21 (+6)
  • Actual Record: 4-4
  • My predicted record: 2-6
  • Points scored for me with wins: 19
  • Points scored for me with losses: 26
  • Points taken from me with wins: 16
  • Points taken from me with losses: 0
  • Plus/Minus: +29
  • "TELL ME HOW YOU REALLY FEEL":
After Green Bay at home this week, four of their next five are on the road.
13. (15) OAKLAND RAIDERS
  • Last week: Lost to Atlanta, 24-0 (+9)
  • Actual Record: 2-6
  • My predicted record: 0-8
  • Points scored for me with wins: 0
  • Points scored for me with losses: 52
  • Points taken from me with wins: 25
  • Points taken from me with losses: 0
  • Plus/Minus: +27
  • "TELL ME HOW YOU REALLY FEEL":
Oh boy ... From the Raiders Team Report:
  • "When JaMarcus Russell was sacked for an 8-yard loss by John Abraham on the last play of the half, it dropped the Raiders into negative yardage. They'd run 13 plays, had no first downs and a net yardage of minus-2."
13. (17) SEATTLE SEAHAWKS
  • Last week: Lost to Philadelphia, 26-7 (+10)
  • Actual Record: 2-6
  • My predicted record: 3-5
  • Points scored for me with wins: 10
  • Points scored for me with losses: 38
  • Points taken from me with wins: 10
  • Points taken from me with losses: 11
  • Plus/Minus: +27
  • "TELL ME HOW YOU REALLY FEEL":
They're just too banged up to be competitive this year.
15. (9) PITTSBURGH STEELERS
  • Last week: Beat Washington, 23-6 (-5)
  • Actual Record: 6-2
  • My predicted record: 6-2
  • Points scored for me with wins: 38
  • Points scored for me with losses: 0
  • Points taken from me with wins: 8
  • Points taken from me with losses: 4
  • Plus/Minus: +26
  • "TELL ME HOW YOU REALLY FEEL":
Wow ... they get three straight and four of the next five are at home.
16. (8) NEW YORK JETS
  • Last week: Beat Buffalo, 26-17 (-7)
  • Actual Record: 5-3
  • My predicted record: 5-3
  • Points scored for me with wins: 39
  • Points scored for me with losses: 5
  • Points taken from me with wins: 7
  • Points taken from me with losses: 12
  • Plus/Minus: +25
  • "TELL ME HOW YOU REALLY FEEL":
Chose the wrong weekend to play their best game of the year. I'll place more of the blame on Buffalo, but there's enough to go around, you know.
17. (14) INDIANAPOLIS COLTS
  • Last week: Beat New England, 18-15 (+4)
  • Actual Record: 4-4
  • My predicted record: 7-1
  • Points scored for me with wins: 33
  • Points scored for me with losses: 3
  • Points taken from me with wins: 0
  • Points taken from me with losses: 12
  • Plus/Minus: +24
  • "TELL ME HOW YOU REALLY FEEL":
It's still striking to me to see the disparity between their actual record and the one I predicted.
18. (21) GREEN BAY PACKERS
  • Last week: Lost to Tennessee, 19-16 (+8)
  • Actual Record: 4-4
  • My predicted record: 5-3
  • Points scored for me with wins: 15
  • Points scored for me with losses: 17
  • Points taken from me with wins: 5
  • Points taken from me with losses: 9
  • Plus/Minus: +18
  • "TELL ME HOW YOU REALLY FEEL":
So close to knocking off the undefeated Titans, yet so very far ...
19. (17) CAROLINA PANTHERS
  • Last week: BYE
  • Actual Record: 5-3
  • My predicted record: 4-4
  • Points scored for me with wins: 32
  • Points scored for me with losses: 4
  • Points taken from me with wins: 11
  • Points taken from me with losses: 8
  • Plus/Minus: +17
  • "TELL ME HOW YOU REALLY FEEL":
Go to Oakland and then welcome Detroit to town. Before you know it, you're in firm control of the NFC South.
20. (20) NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS
  • Last week: Lost to Indianapolis, 18-15 (+4)
  • Actual Record: 5-3
  • My predicted record: 6-2
  • Points scored for me with wins: 32
  • Points scored for me with losses: 4
  • Points taken from me with wins: 3
  • Points taken from me with losses: 17
  • Plus/Minus: +16
  • "TELL ME HOW YOU REALLY FEEL":
Buffalo is the first of three straight games against AFC East opponents. Huge opportunity for New England to create a little bit of elbow room in a division where one game separates the team in the cellar from the three sharing the lead.
21. (17) BALTIMORE RAVENS
  • Last week: Beat Cleveland, 37-27 (-2)
  • Actual Record: 5-3
  • My predicted record: 3-5
  • Points scored for me with wins: 24
  • Points scored for me with losses: 11
  • Points taken from me with wins: 16
  • Points taken from me with losses: 4
  • Plus/Minus: +15
  • "TELL ME HOW YOU REALLY FEEL":
Ugh ... I can't get a good read on them. Inconsistent, frustrating.
22. (26) ATLANTA FALCONS
  • Last week: Beat Oakland, 24-0 (+9)
  • Actual Record: 5-3
  • My predicted record: 2-6
  • Points scored for me with wins: 14
  • Points scored for me with losses: 19
  • Points taken from me with wins: 25
  • Points taken from me with losses: 0
  • Plus/Minus: +8
  • "TELL ME HOW YOU REALLY FEEL":
They're a pleasant little story, I suppose ... provided they continue to avoid disappointing me.
23. (23) CLEVELAND BROWNS
  • Last week: Lost to Baltimore, 37-27 (-2)
  • Actual Record: 3-5
  • My predicted record: 2-6
  • Points scored for me with wins: 0
  • Points scored for me with losses: 33
  • Points taken from me with wins: 21
  • Points taken from me with losses: 8
  • Plus/Minus: +4
  • "TELL ME HOW YOU REALLY FEEL":
That loss to the Ravens is causing me not to wear that sweatshirt.
23. (22) WASHINGTON REDSKINS
  • Last week: Lost to Pittsburgh, 23-6 (-5)
  • Actual Record: 6-3
  • My predicted record: 6-3
  • Points scored for me with wins: 27
  • Points scored for me with losses: 16
  • Points taken from me with wins: 20
  • Points taken from me with losses: 19
  • Plus/Minus: +4
  • "TELL ME HOW YOU REALLY FEEL":
That was a pretty awful way to go limping into the bye week. No pressure, having to come out and play Dallas after the week off, you know.
25. (30) CHICAGO BEARS
  • Last week: Beat Detroit, 27-23 (+14)
  • Actual Record: 5-3
  • My predicted record: 7-1
  • Points scored for me with wins: 24
  • Points scored for me with losses: 0
  • Points taken from me with wins: 1
  • Points taken from me with losses: 22
  • Plus/Minus: +1
  • "TELL ME HOW YOU REALLY FEEL":
Good to finally have my boys on the plus side of things.
25. (25) SAN DIEGO CHARGERS
  • Last week: BYE
  • Actual Record: 3-5
  • My predicted record: 4-4
  • Points scored for me with wins: 11
  • Points scored for me with losses: 6
  • Points taken from me with wins: 2
  • Points taken from me with losses: 14
  • Plus/Minus: +1
  • "TELL ME HOW YOU REALLY FEEL":
Alas, they've had their week off. Now, if memory serves correctly, they'll get hot for the playoffs and run away with a pathetic AFC West crown.
27. (29) TENNESSEE TITANS
  • Last week: Beat Green Bay, 19-16 (+8)
  • Actual Record: 8-0
  • My predicted record: 3-5
  • Points scored for me with wins: 19
  • Points scored for me with losses: 0
  • Points taken from me with wins: 19
  • Points taken from me with losses: 0
  • Plus/Minus: EVEN
  • "TELL ME HOW YOU REALLY FEEL":
No comment.
27. (30) DALLAS COWBOYS
  • Last week: Lost to New York Giants, 35-14 (+13)
  • Actual Record: 5-4
  • My predicted record: 6-3
  • Points scored for me with wins: 31
  • Points scored for me with losses: 13
  • Points taken from me with wins: 14
  • Points taken from me with losses: 30
  • Plus/Minus: EVEN
  • "TELL ME HOW YOU REALLY FEEL":
That was a pretty thorough humiliation they suffered against the Giants. They're going to need a little help to get into the playoffs.
29. (24) BUFFALO BILLS
  • Last week: Lost to New York Jets, 26-17 (-7)
  • Actual Record: 5-3
  • My predicted record: 6-2
  • Points scored for me with wins: 28
  • Points scored for me with losses: 0
  • Points taken from me with wins: 15
  • Points taken from me with losses: 17
  • Plus/Minus: -4
  • "TELL ME HOW YOU REALLY FEEL":
Alas, I believe the real Buffalo Bills have arrived after starting the season 4-0.
29. (26) DENVER BRONCOS
  • Last week: Lost to Miami, 26-17 (-3)
  • Actual Record: 4-4
  • My predicted record: 8-0
  • Points scored for me with wins: 21
  • Points scored for me with losses: 0
  • Points taken from me with wins: 0
  • Points taken from me with losses: 25
  • Plus/Minus: -4
  • "TELL ME HOW YOU REALLY FEEL":
I haven't picked against them yet? Really?
31. (28) MIAMI DOLPHINS
  • Last week: Beat Denver, 26-17 (-3)
  • Actual Record: 4-4
  • My predicted record: 1-7
  • Points scored for me with wins: 0
  • Points scored for me with losses: 27
  • Points taken from me with wins: 32
  • Points taken from me with losses: 4
  • Plus/Minus: -9
  • "TELL ME HOW YOU REALLY FEEL":
Profoundly irritating.
32. (32) JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS
  • Last week: Lost to Cincinnati, 21-19 (+1)
  • Actual Record: 3-5
  • My predicted record: 5-3
  • Points scored for me with wins: 3
  • Points scored for me with losses: 1
  • Points taken from me with wins: 12
  • Points taken from me with losses: 21
  • Plus/Minus: -29
  • "TELL ME HOW YOU REALLY FEEL":
Nobody deserved a loss to the Bengals more ...

16-point games: 2-0
15-point games: 2-1
14-point games: 7-1
13-point games: 7-2
12-point games: 7-2
11-point games: 7-2
10-point games: 7-2
9-point games: 5-4
8-point games: 4-5
7-point games: 4-5
6-point games: 5-4
5-point games: 2-7
4-point games: 6-3
3-point games: 4-5
2-point games: 5-4
1-point games: 6-3

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