Tuesday, December 30, 2008

Final NFL Power Rankings

I went 10-6 in the final week, which was good for 95 points and helped me finish in a tie for second place in the final standings with a total of 1445. Overall, here's how my numbers matched up with the experts at Yahoo! and ESPN (NOTE: Yahoo! did not count the Cincinnati-Philadelphia tie against their experts, which is why the total games for their three guys is different ... basically, you should add another loss on for them):


So, my first year of keeping track of this stuff, it was a pretty delightful little experience. Don't ask me how I ended up picking Detroit to win FIVE times this season, but overall, I'm fairly satisfied with how things went.

Oh, sure; I will re-examine how I did this all season and tinker with a few things to make things easier for me and more enjoyable or insightful for you. Until then, it was a fun season and I'll continue on with playoff picks in the coming weeks. For now, here's the final numbers for the year and I'm thrilled that only one team ended up costing me more points than they earned me. I've limited myself to a single-word description of the team that I feel captures how they performed this season:

1. (1) DETROIT LIONS
  • Last week: Lost to Green Bay, 31-21 (-1)
  • Actual Record: 0-16
  • My predicted record: 5-11
  • Points scored for me with wins: 0
  • Points scored for me with losses: 164
  • Points taken from me with wins: 0
  • Points taken from me with losses: 13
  • Plus/Minus: +151
  • One word:
2. (2) ST. LOUIS RAMS
  • Last week: Lost to Atlanta, 31-27 (+16)
  • Actual Record: 2-14
  • My predicted record: 0-16
  • Points scored for me with wins: 0
  • Points scored for me with losses: 165
  • Points taken from me with wins: 22
  • Points taken from me with losses: 0
  • Plus/Minus: +143
  • One word:
3. (4) INDIANAPOLIS COLTS
  • Last week: Beat Tennessee, 23-0 (+6)
  • Actual Record: 12-4
  • My predicted record: 14-2
  • Points scored for me with wins: 115
  • Points scored for me with losses: 3
  • Points taken from me with wins: 6
  • Points taken from me with losses: 12
  • Plus/Minus: +100
  • One word:
4. (7) BALTIMORE RAVENS
  • Last week: Beat Jacksonville, 27-7 (+14)
  • Actual Record: 11-5
  • My predicted record: 9-7
  • Points scored for me with wins: 79
  • Points scored for me with losses: 30
  • Points taken from me with wins: 16
  • Points taken from me with losses: 4
  • Plus/Minus: +89
  • One word:
4. (3) NEW YORK GIANTS
  • Last week: Lost to Minnesota, 20-19 (-13)
  • Actual Record: 12-4
  • My predicted record: 14-2
  • Points scored for me with wins: 139
  • Points scored for me with losses: 0
  • Points taken from me with wins: 5
  • Points taken from me with losses: 45
  • Plus/Minus: +89
  • One word:
6. (7) ARIZONA CARDINALS
  • Last week: Beat Seattle, 34-21 (+11)
  • Actual Record: 9-7
  • My predicted record: 7-9
  • Points scored for me with wins: 60
  • Points scored for me with losses: 49
  • Points taken from me with wins: 18
  • Points taken from me with losses: 3
  • Plus/Minus: +88
  • One word:
7. (10) PITTSBURGH STEELERS
  • Last week: Beat Cleveland, 31-0 (+15)
  • Actual Record: 12-4
  • My predicted record: 14-2
  • Points scored for me with wins: 94
  • Points scored for me with losses: 0
  • Points taken from me with wins: 8
  • Points taken from me with losses: 14
  • Plus/Minus: +72
  • One word:
7. (5) SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS
  • Last week: Beat Washington, 27-24 (-5)
  • Actual Record: 7-9
  • My predicted record: 4-12
  • Points scored for me with wins: 33
  • Points scored for me with losses: 80
  • Points taken from me with wins: 31
  • Points taken from me with losses: 10
  • Plus/Minus: +72
  • One word:
9. (9) KANSAS CITY CHIEFS
  • Last week: Lost to Cincinnati, 16-6 (+4)
  • Actual Record: 2-14
  • My predicted record: 3-13
  • Points scored for me with wins: 0
  • Points scored for me with losses: 103
  • Points taken from me with wins: 17
  • Points taken from me with losses: 15
  • Plus/Minus: +71
  • One word:
10. (10) SEATTLE SEAHAWKS
  • Last week: Lost to Arizona, 34-21 (+11)
  • Actual Record: 4-12
  • My predicted record: 5-11
  • Points scored for me with wins: 17
  • Points scored for me with losses: 88
  • Points taken from me with wins: 24
  • Points taken from me with losses: 13
  • Plus/Minus: +68
  • One word:
11. (12) CAROLINA PANTHERS
  • Last week: Beat New Orleans, 33-31 (+10)
  • Actual Record: 12-4
  • My predicted record: 12-4
  • Points scored for me with wins: 90
  • Points scored for me with losses: 4
  • Points taken from me with wins: 11
  • Points taken from me with losses: 19
  • Plus/Minus: +64
  • One word:
12. (14) MIAMI DOLPHINS
  • Last week: Beat New York Jets, 24-17 (+8)
  • Actual Record: 11-5
  • My predicted record: 9-7
  • Points scored for me with wins: 73
  • Points scored for me with losses: 27
  • Points taken from me with wins: 32
  • Points taken from me with losses: 8
  • Plus/Minus: +60
  • One word:
13. (16) NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS
  • Last week: Beat Buffalo, 13-0 (+9)
  • Actual Record: 11-5
  • My predicted record: 12-4
  • Points scored for me with wins: 76
  • Points scored for me with losses: 11
  • Points taken from me with wins: 7
  • Points taken from me with losses: 22
  • Plus/Minus: +58
  • One word:
14. (18) CLEVELAND BROWNS
  • Last week: Lost to Pittsburgh, 31-0 (+15)
  • Actual Record: 4-12
  • My predicted record: 4-12
  • Points scored for me with wins: 3
  • Points scored for me with losses: 91
  • Points taken from me with wins: 21
  • Points taken from me with losses: 16
  • Plus/Minus: +57
  • One word:
15. (8) MINNESOTA VIKINGS
  • Last week: Beat New York Giants, 20-19 (-13)
  • Actual Record: 10-6
  • My predicted record: 7-9
  • Points scored for me with wins: 48
  • Points scored for me with losses: 36
  • Points taken from me with wins: 29
  • Points taken from me with losses: 0
  • Plus/Minus: +55
  • One word:
16. (16) CINCINNATI BENGALS
  • Last week: Beat Kansas City, 16-6 (+4)
  • Actual Record: 4-11-1
  • My predicted record: 4-12
  • Points scored for me with wins: 5
  • Points scored for me with losses: 106
  • Points taken from me with wins/ties: 38
  • Points taken from me with losses: 20
  • Plus/Minus: +53
  • One word:
17. (14) HOUSTON TEXANS
  • Last week: Beat Chicago, 31-24 (-7)
  • Actual Record: 8-8
  • My predicted record: 7-9
  • Points scored for me with wins: 33
  • Points scored for me with losses: 48
  • Points taken from me with wins: 21
  • Points taken from me with losses: 15
  • Plus/Minus: +45
  • One word:
18. (23) NEW ORLEANS SAINTS
  • Last week: Lost to Carolina, 33-31 (+10)
  • Actual Record: 8-8
  • My predicted record: 6-10
  • Points scored for me with wins: 35
  • Points scored for me with losses: 34
  • Points taken from me with wins: 10
  • Points taken from me with losses: 17
  • Plus/Minus: +42
  • One word:
18. (12) TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS
  • Last week: Lost to Oakland, 31-24 (-12)
  • Actual Record: 9-7
  • My predicted record: 11-5
  • Points scored for me with wins: 61
  • Points scored for me with losses: 23
  • Points taken from me with wins: 9
  • Points taken from me with losses: 33
  • Plus/Minus: +42
  • One word:
20. (20) SAN DIEGO CHARGERS
  • Last week: Beat Denver, 52-21 (+2)
  • Actual Record: 8-8
  • My predicted record: 8-8
  • Points scored for me with wins: 36
  • Points scored for me with losses: 26
  • Points taken from me with wins: 12
  • Points taken from me with losses: 14
  • Plus/Minus: +36
  • One word:
20. (24) TENNESSEE TITANS
  • Last week: Lost to Indianapolis, 23-0 (+6)
  • Actual Record: 13-3
  • My predicted record: 8-8
  • Points scored for me with wins: 71
  • Points scored for me with losses: 6
  • Points taken from me with wins: 23
  • Points taken from me with losses: 18
  • Plus/Minus: +36
  • One word:
22. (21) DALLAS COWBOYS
  • Last week: Lost to Philadelphia, 44-6 (-3)
  • Actual Record: 9-7
  • My predicted record: 10-6
  • Points scored for me with wins: 56
  • Points scored for me with losses: 27
  • Points taken from me with wins: 20
  • Points taken from me with losses: 33
  • Plus/Minus: +30
  • One word:
22. (18) OAKLAND RAIDERS
  • Last week: Beat Tampa Bay, 31-24 (-12)
  • Actual Record: 5-11
  • My predicted record: 1-15
  • Points scored for me with wins: 0
  • Points scored for me with losses: 96
  • Points taken from me with wins: 62
  • Points taken from me with losses: 4
  • Plus/Minus: +30
  • One word:
22. (21) PHILADELPHIA EAGLES
  • Last week: Beat Dallas, 44-6 (-3)
  • Actual Record: 9-6-1
  • My predicted record: 7-9
  • Points scored for me with wins: 49
  • Points scored for me with losses: 28
  • Points taken from me with wins: 21
  • Points taken from me with losses/ties: 26
  • Plus/Minus: +30
  • One word:
25. (24) CHICAGO BEARS
  • Last week: Lost to Houston, 31-24 (-7)
  • Actual Record: 9-7
  • My predicted record: 13-3
  • Points scored for me with wins: 49
  • Points scored for me with losses: 12
  • Points taken from me with wins: 1
  • Points taken from me with losses: 37
  • Plus/Minus: +23
  • One word:
26. (26) GREEN BAY PACKERS
  • Last week: Beat Detroit, 31-21 (-1)
  • Actual Record: 6-10
  • My predicted record: 8-8
  • Points scored for me with wins: 15
  • Points scored for me with losses: 35
  • Points taken from me with wins: 14
  • Points taken from me with losses: 16
  • Plus/Minus: +20
  • One word:
26. (28) JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS
  • Last week: Lost to Baltimore, 27-7 (+14)
  • Actual Record: 5-11
  • My predicted record: 5-11
  • Points scored for me with wins: 3
  • Points scored for me with losses: 55
  • Points taken from me with wins: 17
  • Points taken from me with losses: 21
  • Plus/Minus: +20
  • One word:
28. (29) NEW YORK JETS
  • Last week: Lost to Miami, 24-17 (+8)
  • Actual Record: 9-7
  • My predicted record: 10-6
  • Points scored for me with wins: 61
  • Points scored for me with losses: 13
  • Points taken from me with wins: 17
  • Points taken from me with losses: 46
  • Plus/Minus: +11
  • One word:
29. (31) ATLANTA FALCONS
  • Last week: Beat St. Louis, 31-27 (+16)
  • Actual Record: 11-5
  • My predicted record: 8-8
  • Points scored for me with wins: 43
  • Points scored for me with losses: 19
  • Points taken from me with wins: 37
  • Points taken from me with losses: 16
  • Plus/Minus: +9
  • One word:
30. (27) WASHINGTON REDSKINS
  • Last week: Lost to San Francisco, 27-24 (-5)
  • Actual Record: 8-8
  • My predicted record: 9-7
  • Points scored for me with wins: 37
  • Points scored for me with losses: 41
  • Points taken from me with wins: 31
  • Points taken from me with losses: 39
  • Plus/Minus: +8
  • One word:
31. (30) BUFFALO BILLS
  • Last week: Lost to New England, 13-0 (+9)
  • Actual Record: 7-9
  • My predicted record: 7-9
  • Points scored for me with wins: 28
  • Points scored for me with losses: 25
  • Points taken from me with wins: 21
  • Points taken from me with losses: 29
  • Plus/Minus: +3
  • One word:
32. (32) DENVER BRONCOS
  • Last week: Lost to San Diego, 52-21 (+2)
  • Actual Record: 8-8
  • My predicted record: 12-4
  • Points scored for me with wins: 35
  • Points scored for me with losses: 11
  • Points taken from me with wins: 19
  • Points taken from me with losses: 43
  • Plus/Minus: -16
  • One word:

How each game broke down for me by their point value:

16-point games: 9-0

15-point games: 7-3
14-point games: 13-3
13-point games: 12-5
12-point games: 12-5
11-point games: 13-4
10-point games: 13-4
9-point games: 11-6
8-point games: 10-7
7-point games: 11-6
6-point games: 10-7
5-point games: 6-11
4-point games: 10-7
3-point games: 9-8
2-point games: 10-7
1-point games: 8-9

And how the finish would have gone had they done what I said:

AFC
East
New England Patriots 12-4 (11-5)
New York Jets 10-6 (9-7)
Miami Dolphins 9-7 (11-5)
Buffalo Bills 7-9 (7-9)

North
Pittsburgh Steelers 14-2 (12-4)
Baltimore Ravens 9-7 (11-5)
Cleveland Browns 4-12 (4-12)
Cincinatti Bengals 4-12 (4-11-1)

South
Indianapolis Colts 14-2 (12-4)
Tennessee Titans 8-8 (13-3)
Houston Texans 7-9 (8-8)
Jacksonville Jaguars 5-11 (5-11)

West
Denver Broncos 12-4 (8-8)
San Diego Chargers 8-8 (8-8)
Kansas City Chiefs 3-13 (2-14)
Oakland Raiders 1-15 (5-11)

NFC
East
New York Giants 14-2 (12-4)
Dallas Cowboys 10-6 (9-7)
Washington Redskins 9-7 (8-8)
Philadelphia Eagles 7-9 (9-6-1)

North
Chicago Bears 13-3 (9-7)
Green Bay Packers 8-8 (6-10)
Minnesota Vikings 7-9 (10-6)
Detroit Lions 5-11 (0-16)

South
Carolina Panthers 12-4 (12-4)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 11-5 (9-7)
Atlanta Falcons 8-8 (11-5)
New Orleans Saints 6-10 (8-8)

West
Arizona Cardinals 7-9 (9-7)
Seattle Seahawks 5-11 (4-12)
San Francisco 49ers 4-12 (7-9)
St. Louis Rams 0-16 (2-14)

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