The Wunderdog sheet last week was the best of the bunch, but here's how things look this week:
| PFW Spread | Brian Burke | Yahoo Users | Wunderdog | My Numbers | ||
| 16—Broncos (12) | 16—Broncos (.91) | 16—Broncos (95%) | 16—Broncos (25-14) | 16—Bears (171) | ||
| 15—Ravens (9 ½) | 14.5—Ravens (.82) | 15—Chargers (94%) | 15—Colts (24-16) | 15—49ers (151) | ||
| 14—Jets (9) | 14.5—Chargers (.82) | 14—49ers (93%) | 14—Ravens (23-15) | 14—Colts (142) | ||
| 13—49ers (7 ½) | 13—Colts (.80) | 12.5—Ravens(91%) | 13—Chargers (27-20) | 13—Chargers(140) | ||
| 11.5—Texans (7) | 12—Jaguars (.77) | 12.5—Titans (91%) | 12—Vikings (29-24) | 12—Saints (109) | ||
| 11.5—Chargers (7) | 10.5—Titans (.71) | 11—Bears (89%) | 11—49ers (21-16) | 11—Jaguars (104) | ||
| 10—Vikings (6 ½) | 10.5—49ers (.71) | 10—Falcons (85%) | 10—Bears (23-19) | 10—Falcons (100) | ||
| 9—Titans (4 ½) | 9—Saints (.70) | 9—Vikings (83%) | 9—Jets (19-15) | 9—Broncos (76) | ||
| 8—Bears (4) | 8—Bears (.69) | 8—Steelers (74%) | 8—Titans (25-21) | 8—Ravens (68) | ||
| 7—Saints (3 ½) | 7—Jets (.66) | 7—Colts (71%) | 7—Steelers (26-23) | 7—Patriots (42) | ||
| 4.5—Colts (3) | 6—Steelers (.65) | 6—Jaguars (69%) | 6—Saints (25-23) | 6—Titans (36) | ||
| 4.5—Jaguars (3) | 4.5—Cowboys (.58) | 5—Patriots (67%) | 5—Falcons (21-20) | 5—Bengals (31) | ||
| 4.5—Eagles (3) | 4.5—Packers (.58) | 4—Saints (64%) | 4—Texans (23-21) | 4—Vikings (30) | ||
| 4.5—Cardinals(3) | 2—Giants (.54) | 3—Cardinals (55%) | 3—Jaguars (19-18) | 3—Cowboys (10) | ||
| 2—Falcons (1) | 2—Falcons (.54) | 1.5—Bengals (54%) | 2—Cardinals (24-23) | 2—Cardinals (9) | ||
| 1—Steelers (E) | 2—Patriots (.54) | 1.5—Eagles (54%) | 1—Cowboys (23-22) | 1—Steelers (2) | ||
| 93 points (10-6) | 82 points (10-6) | 92 points (8-8) | 94 points (11-5) | 76 points (9-7) |
UPDATE: Apparently, Wunderdog changed its picks after I had written down its initial calculations. I'd update it to reflect what's currently up on their page, but who knows if they'll end up changing it again and it's too late in the season for this shit, so what they originally had is what I'm going with (which is how it would [and should] work). If you or they have a problem with that, I highly recommend going and fucking yourself.
Now! On to my own picks:
16 points
Denver Broncos (8-7) over Kansas City Chiefs (3-12)
-4/+4 : +76/76/0 : -4/+80
The Broncos should be able to do their part in keeping their playoff hopes alive, but it's the help they'll need that I'm not so sure about.
15 points
San Diego Chargers (12-3) over Washington Redskins (4-11)
+89/+7 : +163/140/+23 : +16/+74
The Bolts really don't have anything to play for, so it's a somewhat risky pick in that sense. Still, at this point, San Diego's got to be one of my early favorites to go all the way.
14 points
Baltimore Ravens (8-7) over Oakland Raiders (5-11)
+53/+4 : +76/68/+8 : +4/+23
Oakland should put up a fight on the West Coast, but Baltimore should be able to grind out one last win.
13 points
San Francisco 49ers (7-8) over St. Louis Rams (1-14)
+17/+29 : +180/151/+29 : 0/+163
I'm tempted to believe the Rams can catch the Niners off-guard and steal their second win of the year, but my guess instead is that San Fran ends gets back to .500.
12 points
Indianapolis Colts (14-1) over Buffalo Bills (5-10)
+95/-4 : +146/142/+4 : +8/+51
Indy's gotten so much crap for letting the Jets take one from the subs last week that they need a win here to remind the haters why they put away home-field weeks ago.
11 points
Chicago Bears (6-9) over Detroit Lions (2-13)
+35/+16 : +187/171/+16 : 0/+152
The Monsters of the Midway need one last good showing against a tired and beat up team just to be able to tell Lovie Smith that they made a real effort to save his job in the last two weeks of an otherwise disappointing year.
10 points
Tennessee Titans (7-8) over Seattle Seahawks (5-10)
+13/+32 : +88/36/+52 : +20/+75
Getting back to .500 after starting the season 0-6 would give Titans fans a reason to be somewhat optimistic.
9 points
Jacksonville Jaguars (7-8) over Cleveland Browns (4-11)
+15/+7 : +112/104/+8 : +1/+97
The Jags are yet another team that I believe finishing .500 would mean something to. (It would do a lot for Jack Del Rio's job security too.)
8 points
New Orleans Saints (13-2) over Carolina Panthers (7-8)
+93/-7 : +121/109/+12 : +19/+28
The Panthers have been dangerous in recent weeks, but the Saints badly need to re-establish some momentum heading into an off-week.
7 points
Minnesota Vikings (11-4) over New York Giants (8-7)
+60/-4 : +54/30/+24 : +28/-6
Now that the Giants have been eliminated and the Vikes' first round bye is no longer a certainty, the Purple People Eaters should take care of the G-Men.
6 points
Atlanta Falcons (8-7) over Tampa Bay Buccaneers (3-12)
+41/+41 : +141/100/+41 : 0/+100
The Bucs could give Atlanta a scare, but ultimately I'm guessing the Dirty Birds get out of Florida with their first back-to-back winning seasons in franchise history.
5 points
New York Jets (8-7) over Cincinnati Bengals (10-5)
+5/-9 : -16/31/+15 : +24/-21
Get this right and both teams finish in the positive for the year, but get it wrong and both teams are in the red. That seems oddly fitting, and now I wouldn't be less surprised if the Jets just end up laying a gigantic egg instead.
4 points
Pittsburgh Steelers (8-7) over Miami Dolphins (7-8)
-10/-1 : +6/2/+4 : +5/+16
3 points
Arizona Cardinals (10-5) over Green Bay Packers (10-5)
+31/-27 : +27/9/+18 : +45/-4
I honestly have no idea what to expect from this one, considering the same two teams could very well be playing each other again in the same location with their seasons on the line next week. My default guess is to go with the home team.
2 points
New England Patriots (10-5) over Houston Texans (8-7)
+68/-3 : +65/42/+23 : +26/-3
I know I said the Texans would get in the playoffs this year, but now another 8-8 finish seems totally fitting. Gary Kubiak, it was nice knowing you.
1 point
Dallas Cowboys (10-5) over Philadelphia Eagles (11-4)
+60/-4 : +63/10/+53 : +57/+3
Much like Arizona's game against Green Bay, I'll give Dallas the benefit of the doubt for being the home team. The opportunity to atone for last year's ass-drubbing doesn't hurt either.
16 pointsDenver Broncos (8-7) over Kansas City Chiefs (3-12)
-4/+4 : +76/76/0 : -4/+80
The Broncos should be able to do their part in keeping their playoff hopes alive, but it's the help they'll need that I'm not so sure about.
15 pointsSan Diego Chargers (12-3) over Washington Redskins (4-11)
+89/+7 : +163/140/+23 : +16/+74
The Bolts really don't have anything to play for, so it's a somewhat risky pick in that sense. Still, at this point, San Diego's got to be one of my early favorites to go all the way.
14 pointsBaltimore Ravens (8-7) over Oakland Raiders (5-11)
+53/+4 : +76/68/+8 : +4/+23
Oakland should put up a fight on the West Coast, but Baltimore should be able to grind out one last win.
13 pointsSan Francisco 49ers (7-8) over St. Louis Rams (1-14)
+17/+29 : +180/151/+29 : 0/+163
I'm tempted to believe the Rams can catch the Niners off-guard and steal their second win of the year, but my guess instead is that San Fran ends gets back to .500.
12 pointsIndianapolis Colts (14-1) over Buffalo Bills (5-10)
+95/-4 : +146/142/+4 : +8/+51
Indy's gotten so much crap for letting the Jets take one from the subs last week that they need a win here to remind the haters why they put away home-field weeks ago.
11 pointsChicago Bears (6-9) over Detroit Lions (2-13)
+35/+16 : +187/171/+16 : 0/+152
The Monsters of the Midway need one last good showing against a tired and beat up team just to be able to tell Lovie Smith that they made a real effort to save his job in the last two weeks of an otherwise disappointing year.
10 pointsTennessee Titans (7-8) over Seattle Seahawks (5-10)
+13/+32 : +88/36/+52 : +20/+75
Getting back to .500 after starting the season 0-6 would give Titans fans a reason to be somewhat optimistic.
9 pointsJacksonville Jaguars (7-8) over Cleveland Browns (4-11)
+15/+7 : +112/104/+8 : +1/+97
The Jags are yet another team that I believe finishing .500 would mean something to. (It would do a lot for Jack Del Rio's job security too.)
8 pointsNew Orleans Saints (13-2) over Carolina Panthers (7-8)
+93/-7 : +121/109/+12 : +19/+28
The Panthers have been dangerous in recent weeks, but the Saints badly need to re-establish some momentum heading into an off-week.
7 pointsMinnesota Vikings (11-4) over New York Giants (8-7)
+60/-4 : +54/30/+24 : +28/-6
Now that the Giants have been eliminated and the Vikes' first round bye is no longer a certainty, the Purple People Eaters should take care of the G-Men.
6 pointsAtlanta Falcons (8-7) over Tampa Bay Buccaneers (3-12)
+41/+41 : +141/100/+41 : 0/+100
The Bucs could give Atlanta a scare, but ultimately I'm guessing the Dirty Birds get out of Florida with their first back-to-back winning seasons in franchise history.
5 pointsNew York Jets (8-7) over Cincinnati Bengals (10-5)
+5/-9 : -16/31/+15 : +24/-21
Get this right and both teams finish in the positive for the year, but get it wrong and both teams are in the red. That seems oddly fitting, and now I wouldn't be less surprised if the Jets just end up laying a gigantic egg instead.
4 pointsPittsburgh Steelers (8-7) over Miami Dolphins (7-8)
-10/-1 : +6/2/+4 : +5/+16
It's still remarkable to me that right or wrong here, last season's World Champions will finish in the negative for points earned for me this year.
3 pointsArizona Cardinals (10-5) over Green Bay Packers (10-5)
+31/-27 : +27/9/+18 : +45/-4
I honestly have no idea what to expect from this one, considering the same two teams could very well be playing each other again in the same location with their seasons on the line next week. My default guess is to go with the home team.
2 pointsNew England Patriots (10-5) over Houston Texans (8-7)
+68/-3 : +65/42/+23 : +26/-3
I know I said the Texans would get in the playoffs this year, but now another 8-8 finish seems totally fitting. Gary Kubiak, it was nice knowing you.
1 pointDallas Cowboys (10-5) over Philadelphia Eagles (11-4)
+60/-4 : +63/10/+53 : +57/+3
Much like Arizona's game against Green Bay, I'll give Dallas the benefit of the doubt for being the home team. The opportunity to atone for last year's ass-drubbing doesn't hurt either.
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