Thanksgiving Picks

I had originally hoped to squeeze in all my picks before the holiday—maybe even go strictly by the numbers like I did Thanksgiving weekend last year, you know, when I won—but those last five this time around are still being decided. And I can't put my faith in what the numbers spit up this week without a few modifications (you'll see ...).

Still, I did have to get tomorrow's games in there, so here's what I've got:

11 points
Green Bay Packers (6-4) over Detroit Lions (2-8)
+12/-5 : +94/99/-5 : 0/+82

Both teams are dealing with their share of injuries, but no Calvin Johnson and no Matthew Stafford equates to no chance for the Lions—no matter who's missing from Green Bay's defense.

10 points
Dallas Cowboys (7-3) over Oakland Raiders (3-7)
+51/-1 : +81/78/+3 : +4/+30

I'd be more worried about the Raiders if the game weren't so important to Dallas. Tony Romo's 3-0 record on the holiday doesn't hurt either.

9 points
New York Giants (6-4) over Denver Broncos (6-4)
+42/0 : +43/38/-5 : +1/-5

Riskiest pick of the day, but the Giants at least regained a little bit of their footing by ending their four-game losing streak while Denver's still in the midst of a freefall.

Power Rankings later this evening ...