As you may recall, I decided to utilize my "numbers" for my picks last week, a strategy I employed only once last year, also in Week 13, and won. And however miserable things have been fantasy-wise and might have been last weekend, I was oblivious to it as my picks were clearly the best of any out there last week. My entire Sunday was filled with one unexpected twist of fate that went my way after another, be it Oakland's upset of Pittsburgh, the Dolphins victory over the Patriots, or Arizona's thumping of Minnesota. No, I didn't predict any of thsoe upsets, but I didn't go anywhere near as big as most of the crowd in either pool. (TRUTH)
That in turn, hinged my easy first place finish (out of 11) for the week with a 12-4 mark that was worth 106 points. So, yes, this obviously is shaping up to become a tradition for me. The victory brought me to 1127 points on the year and to within 25 points of the leader as I stay a bit more comfortably in second place. On the year, my record improved to 126-66 (.656) overall, still two games ahead of last year's pace.
Like I said, my 12-4 record was the best I saw, but Pete Prisco of CBS Sports went 11-5 last week. Mike Golic of ESPN and Yahoo's Michael Silver and Jason Cole all went 10-6, while the bro-in-law, Charles Robinson, Chris Mortensen, Adam Schefter and Seth Wickersham all went 9-7. Ron Jaworski's 8-7 leaves him between that crowd and the week's cellar-dwelling trio of Eric Allen, Merrill Hoge, and Mark Schlereth who all finished 8-8.
Now, on the year (numbers in parentheses still indicating where the dude stood in the rankings last week):
2. (2) TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS
5. (5) NEW ORLEANS SAINTS
6. (8) INDIANAPOLIS COLTS
7. (9) SAN DIEGO CHARGERS
9. (10) WASHINGTON REDSKINS
13. (12) DALLAS COWBOYS
21. (22) SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS
27. (26) PITTSBURGH STEELERS
29. (28) HOUSTON TEXANS
30. (31) DENVER BRONCOS
32. (32) CINCINNATI BENGALS
And here's how the games have been going for me, by point value, this season:
16-point games: 5-1
15-point games: 6-1
14-point games: 8-2
13-point games: 11-2
12-point games: 13-0
11-point games: 10-3
10-point games: 11-2
9-point games: 9-4
8-point games: 8-5
7-point games: 5-8
6-point games: 7-6
5-point games: 7-6
4-point games: 9-4
3-point games: 4-9
2-point games: 8-5
1-point games: 5-8
1. (1) Michael Silver, Yahoo: 133-59 (.693)
2. (1) Merril Hoge, ESPN: 131-61 (.682)
3. (3) Charles Robinson, Yahoo: 130-62 (.677)
4. (4) Chris Mortensen, ESPN: 129-63 (.672)
5. (5) Adam Schefter, ESPN: 128-64 (.667)
6. (9) Mike Golic, ESPN: 126-65 (.660)
7. (6) LEV, crazy colored glasses: 126-66 (.656)
7. (12) YOURS TRULY: 126-66 (.656)
9. (8) Ron Jaworski, ESPN: 117-62 (.654)
10. (6) Mark Schlereth, ESPN: 125-67 (.651)
10. (10) Jason Cole, Yahoo: 125-67 (.651)
12. (10) Seth Wickersham, ESPN: 124-68 (.646)
13. (12) Eric Allen, ESPN: 122-70 (.635)
13. (14) Pete Prisco, CBS Sports: 122-70 (.635)
So once again, the entire Power Rankings routine I somewhat senselessly put myself through over the course of an NFL season is validated once again on Week 13. I don't know how things will play out over the course of the final four weeks, but I'm hoping to avoid this being the first year in which more than one team finishes in the red for me. It's going to be tough, but here's how things look for all the squads:2. (1) Merril Hoge, ESPN: 131-61 (.682)
3. (3) Charles Robinson, Yahoo: 130-62 (.677)
4. (4) Chris Mortensen, ESPN: 129-63 (.672)
5. (5) Adam Schefter, ESPN: 128-64 (.667)
6. (9) Mike Golic, ESPN: 126-65 (.660)
7. (6) LEV, crazy colored glasses: 126-66 (.656)
7. (12) YOURS TRULY: 126-66 (.656)
9. (8) Ron Jaworski, ESPN: 117-62 (.654)
10. (6) Mark Schlereth, ESPN: 125-67 (.651)
10. (10) Jason Cole, Yahoo: 125-67 (.651)
12. (10) Seth Wickersham, ESPN: 124-68 (.646)
13. (12) Eric Allen, ESPN: 122-70 (.635)
13. (14) Pete Prisco, CBS Sports: 122-70 (.635)
- Last week: Lost to Chicago, 17-9 (+13)
- Actual Record: 1-11
- My predicted record: 0-12
- My record at predicting their record: 11-1
- Points scored for me with wins: 0
- Points scored for me with losses: +126
- Points taken from me with wins: -6
- Points taken from me with losses: 0
- Plus/Minus: +120
2. (2) TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS
- Last week: Lost to Carolina, 16-6 (+11)
- Actual Record: 1-11
- My predicted record: 0-12
- My record at predicting their record: 11-1
- Points scored for me with wins: 0
- Points scored for me with losses: +128
- Points taken from me with wins: -13
- Points taken from me with losses: 0
- Plus/Minus: +115
2. (3) CLEVELAND BROWNS
- Last week: Lost to San Diego, 30-23 (+16)
- Actual Record: 1-11
- My predicted record: 0-12
- My record at predicting their record: 11-1
- Points scored for me with wins: 0
- Points scored for me with losses: +122
- Points taken from me with wins: -7
- Points taken from me with losses: 0
- Plus/Minus: +115
4. (4) DETROIT LIONS
- Last week: Lost to Cincinnati, 23-13 (+14)
- Actual Record: 2-10
- My predicted record: 2-10
- My record at predicting their record: 10-2
- Points scored for me with wins: +6
- Points scored for me with losses: +115
- Points taken from me with wins: -8
- Points taken from me with losses: -6
- Plus/Minus: +107
5. (5) NEW ORLEANS SAINTS
- Last week: Beat Washington, 33-30 (+15)
- Actual Record: 12-0
- My predicted record: 9-3
- My record at predicting their record: 9-3
- Points scored for me with wins: +103
- Points scored for me with losses: 0
- Points taken from me with wins: -7
- Points taken from me with losses: 0
- Plus/Minus: +96
- Last week: Beat Tennessee, 27-17 (+12)
- Actual Record: 12-0
- My predicted record: 10-2
- My record at predicting their record: 10-2
- Points scored for me with wins: +88
- Points scored for me with losses: 0
- Points taken from me with wins: -4
- Points taken from me with losses: 0
- Plus/Minus: +84
- Last week: Beat San Francisco, 20-17 (+2)
- Actual Record: 5-7
- My predicted record: 7-5
- My record at predicting their record: 10-2
- Points scored for me with wins: +36
- Points scored for me with losses: +52
- Points taken from me with wins: 0
- Points taken from me with losses: -7
- Plus/Minus: +81
7. (9) SAN DIEGO CHARGERS
- Last week: Beat Cleveland, 30-23 (+16)
- Actual Record: 9-3
- My predicted record: 7-5
- My record at predicting their record: 10-2
- Points scored for me with wins: +74
- Points scored for me with losses: +13
- Points taken from me with wins: -6
- Points taken from me with losses: 0
- Plus/Minus: +81
9. (10) WASHINGTON REDSKINS
- Last week: Lost to New Orleans, 33-30 (+15)
- Actual Record: 3-9
- My predicted record: 5-7
- My record at predicting their record: 9-3
- Points scored for me with wins: +25
- Points scored for me with losses: +76
- Points taken from me with wins: -11
- Points taken from me with losses: -13
- Plus/Minus: +77
10. (7) MINNESOTA VIKINGS
- Last week: Lost to Arizona, 30-17 (-9)
- Actual Record: 10-2
- My predicted record: 9-3
- My record at predicting their record: 9-3
- Points scored for me with wins: +81
- Points scored for me with losses: +4
- Points taken from me with wins: -8
- Points taken from me with losses: -9
- Plus/Minus: +68
11. (11) ATLANTA FALCONS
- Last week: Lost to Philadelphia, 34-7 (+5)
- Actual Record: 6-6
- My predicted record: 6-6
- My record at predicting their record: 10-2
- Points scored for me with wins: +40
- Points scored for me with losses: +34
- Points taken from me with wins: -3
- Points taken from me with losses: -5
- Plus/Minus: +66
12. (13) KANSAS CITY CHIEFS
- Last week: Lost to Denver, 44-13 (+10)
- Actual Record: 3-9
- My predicted record: 2-10
- My record at predicting their record: 9-3
- Points scored for me with wins: +1
- Points scored for me with losses: +84
- Points taken from me with wins: -21
- Points taken from me with losses: -2
- Plus/Minus: +62
13. (12) DALLAS COWBOYS
- Last week: Lost to New York Giants, 31-24 (-6)
- Actual Record: 8-4
- My predicted record: 9-3
- My record at predicting their record: 9-3
- Points scored for me with wins: +70
- Points scored for me with losses: +4
- Points taken from me with wins: -5
- Points taken from me with losses: -15
- Plus/Minus: +54
14. (15) CAROLINA PANTHERS
- Last week: Beat Tampa Bay, 16-6 (+11)
- Actual Record: 5-7
- My predicted record: 5-7
- My record at predicting their record: 8-4
- Points scored for me with wins: +29
- Points scored for me with losses: +47
- Points taken from me with wins: -13
- Points taken from me with losses: -10
- Plus/Minus: +53
15. (17) PHILADELPHIA EAGLES
- Last week: Beat Atlanta, 34-7 (+5)
- Actual Record: 8-4
- My predicted record: 9-3
- My record at predicting their record: 9-3
- Points scored for me with wins: +56
- Points scored for me with losses: +9
- Points taken from me with wins: -5
- Points taken from me with losses: -19
- Plus/Minus: +41
15. (20) CHICAGO BEARS
- Last week: Beat St. Louis, 17-9 (+13)
- Actual Record: 5-7
- My predicted record: 9-3
- My record at predicting their record: 6-6
- Points scored for me with wins: +46
- Points scored for me with losses: +15
- Points taken from me with wins: -9
- Points taken from me with losses: -11
- Plus/Minus: +41
17. (18) BUFFALO BILLS
- Last week: Lost to New York Jets, 19-13 (+4)
- Actual Record: 4-8
- My predicted record: 2-10
- My record at predicting their record: 8-4
- Points scored for me with wins: +10
- Points scored for me with losses: +61
- Points taken from me with wins: -26
- Points taken from me with losses: -7
- Plus/Minus: +38
18. (14) OAKLAND RAIDERS
- Last week: Beat Pittsburgh, 27-24 (-7)
- Actual Record: 4-8
- My predicted record: 1-11
- My record at predicting their record: 9-3
- Points scored for me with wins: +4
- Points scored for me with losses: +69
- Points taken from me with wins: -36
- Points taken from me with losses: 0
- Plus/Minus: +37
19. (16) NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS
- Last week: Lost to Miami, 22-21 (-8)
- Actual Record: 7-5
- My predicted record: 11-1
- My record at predicting their record: 6-6
- Points scored for me with wins: +66
- Points scored for me with losses: 0
- Points taken from me with wins: -3
- Points taken from me with losses: -31
- Plus/Minus: +32
20. (19) NEW YORK GIANTS
- Last week: Beat Dallas, 31-24 (-6)
- Actual Record: 7-5
- My predicted record: 11-1
- My record at predicting their record: 6-6
- Points scored for me with wins: +62
- Points scored for me with losses: 0
- Points taken from me with wins: -6
- Points taken from me with losses: -29
- Plus/Minus: +27
21. (21) BALTIMORE RAVENS
- Last week: Lost to Green Bay, 27-14 (+1)
- Actual Record: 6-6
- My predicted record: 8-4
- My record at predicting their record: 6-6
- Points scored for me with wins: +43
- Points scored for me with losses: +5
- Points taken from me with wins: -4
- Points taken from me with losses: -18
- Plus/Minus: +26
21. (22) SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS
- Last week: Lost to Seattle, 20-17 (+2)
- Actual Record: 5-7
- My predicted record: 2-10
- My record at predicting their record: 7-5
- Points scored for me with wins: +11
- Points scored for me with losses: +35
- Points taken from me with wins: -13
- Points taken from me with losses: -7
- Plus/Minus: +26
23. (25) TENNESSEE TITANS
- Last week: Lost to Indianapolis, 27-17 (+12)
- Actual Record: 5-7
- My predicted record: 6-6
- My record at predicting their record: 7-5
- Points scored for me with wins: +15
- Points scored for me with losses: +36
- Points taken from me with wins: -8
- Points taken from me with losses: -21
- Plus/Minus: +22
- Last week: Beat Baltimore, 27-14 (+1)
- Actual Record: 8-4
- My predicted record: 9-3
- My record at predicting their record: 7-5
- Points scored for me with wins: +55
- Points scored for me with losses: +5
- Points taken from me with wins: -10
- Points taken from me with losses: -31
- Plus/Minus: +19
25. (22) MIAMI DOLPHINS
- Last week: Beat New England, 22-21 (-8)
- Actual Record: 6-6
- My predicted record: 5-7
- My record at predicting their record: 7-5
- Points scored for me with wins: +14
- Points scored for me with losses: +25
- Points taken from me with wins: -14
- Points taken from me with losses: -9
- Plus/Minus: +16
26. (27) JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS
- Last week: Beat Houston, 23-18 (+3)
- Actual Record: 7-5
- My predicted record: 7-5
- My record at predicting their record: 6-6
- Points scored for me with wins: +27
- Points scored for me with losses: +14
- Points taken from me with wins: -24
- Points taken from me with losses: -10
- Plus/Minus: +7
- Last week: Lost to Oakland, 27-24 (-7)
- Actual Record: 6-6
- My predicted record: 11-1
- My record at predicting their record: 5-7
- Points scored for me with wins: +44
- Points scored for me with losses: 0
- Points taken from me with wins: -1
- Points taken from me with losses: -43
- Plus/Minus: EVEN
28. (28) NEW YORK JETS
- Last week: Beat Buffalo, 19-13 (+4)
- Actual Record: 6-6
- My predicted record: 6-6
- My record at predicting their record: 6-6
- Points scored for me with wins: +18
- Points scored for me with losses: +19
- Points taken from me with wins: -17
- Points taken from me with losses: -21
- Plus/Minus: -1
29. (28) HOUSTON TEXANS
- Last week: Lost to Jacksonville, 23-18 (+3)
- Actual Record: 5-7
- My predicted record: 6-6
- My record at predicting their record: 7-5
- Points scored for me with wins: +17
- Points scored for me with losses: +17
- Points taken from me with wins: -20
- Points taken from me with losses: -16
- Plus/Minus: -2
30. (31) DENVER BRONCOS
- Last week: Beat Kansas City, 44-13 (+10)
- Actual Record: 8-4
- My predicted record: 8-4
- My record at predicting their record: 6-6
- Points scored for me with wins: +25
- Points scored for me with losses: +5
- Points taken from me with wins: -19
- Points taken from me with losses: -14
- Plus/Minus: -3
31. (30) ARIZONA CARDINALS
- Last week: Beat Minnesota, 30-17 (-9)
- Actual Record: 8-4
- My predicted record: 5-7
- My record at predicting their record: 5-7
- Points scored for me with wins: +21
- Points scored for me with losses: +6
- Points taken from me with wins: -33
- Points taken from me with losses: -15
- Plus/Minus: -21
32. (32) CINCINNATI BENGALS
- Last week: Beat Detroit, 23-13 (+14)
- Actual Record: 9-3
- My predicted record: 6-6
- My record at predicting their record: 3-9
- Points scored for me with wins: +40
- Points scored for me with losses: 0
- Points taken from me with wins: -37
- Points taken from me with losses: -28
- Plus/Minus: -25
And here's how the games have been going for me, by point value, this season:
16-point games: 5-1
15-point games: 6-1
14-point games: 8-2
13-point games: 11-2
12-point games: 13-0
11-point games: 10-3
10-point games: 11-2
9-point games: 9-4
8-point games: 8-5
7-point games: 5-8
6-point games: 7-6
5-point games: 7-6
4-point games: 9-4
3-point games: 4-9
2-point games: 8-5
1-point games: 5-8
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