Tuesday, November 30, 2010

Week 11 Power Rankings: Somewhat forgettable

As I get started here on catching up on what I missed during the utterly fantastic little break I just took from work and posting here on BMC, I suppose the one thing I wanted to remember Week 11 by was Richard Seymour leveling Big Ben during Pittsburgh's 35-3 blowout of Oakland.
 
I did decently enough with my picks that week to gain another 109 points, but the week got off to a bad start with me being in the minority in picking the banged-up Dolphins to beat my beloved Bears on Thursday night. There were two other rather costly games that weekend that ultimately doomed my hopes and as a result, I wasn't able to finish atop the standings in either pool despite a respectable enough record for the week.
 
Again, it was a week where even a strong straight-up record was going to be offset by the proper placement of bets, and most damaging was the Washington Redskins continuing to be an enigma for me on the year by doing the opposite of what I had expected. I mean, wasn't that Randy Moss fellow supposed to be playing or something?
 
Whatvevs. Not necessarily a terrible week, but not a great one either.

My own Week 11 picks were good for a second straight eighth place finish in the PoolHost league:


And unfortunately, my tenure in first place for the year was short-lived as the Week 11 results dropped me to third on the year:


Story wasn't much different in the Yahoo pool, although my fifth place finish over there was technically closer to the bottom than the top:


And the gap between myself and the fellow in first place ballooned to 28 points:


My 11-5 record was once again pretty middle-of-the-pack, maybe even on the lower end.

Mike Golic of ESPN and Jason Cole of Yahoo were the best of the usual bunch with 14-2 marks for the week. Merrill Hoge was right behind at 13-3 while Ron Jaworksi had the same number wrong but one less right at 12-3. Eric Allen went 12-4 while Chris Mortensen, Les Carpenter, and Michael Silver all had the same 11-5 record as myself. Seth Wickersham and Pete Prisco of CBS Sports both went 10-6, but it was Adam Schefter and Mark Schlereth bringing up the rear for the week with 9-7 records.

So technically speaking, Jaws now overtakes the best winning percentage of the year—despite having picked 11 less games than everyone else:

1. (1) Ron Jaworski, ESPN: 96-52 (.649)
2. (2) Jason Cole, Yahoo: 103-57 (.644)
3. (4) Chris Mortensen, ESPN: 99-61 (.619) 
3. (4) YOURS TRULY: 99-61 (.619)
5. (6) Mike Golic, ESPN: 98-62 (.613)
5. (2) Mark Schlereth, ESPN: 98-62 (.613)
7. (6) Michael Silver, Yahoo: 95-65 (.594)
8. (8) Les Carpenter, Yahoo: 94-66 (.588)
9. (11) Merril Hoge, ESPN: 91-69 (.569)
9. (9) Pete Prisco, CBS Sports: 91-69 (.569)
11. (10) Seth Wickersham, ESPN: 89-71 (.556)
12. (12) Adam Schefter, ESPN: 86-74 (.538)
12. (13) Eric Allen, ESPN: 86-74 (.538)

The biggest news of Week 11, I suppose, would have to be that we got a new No. 1 team in the Power Rankings:


1. (3) CAROLINA PANTHERS
  • Last week: Lost to Baltimore, 37-13 (+16)
  • Actual Record: 1-9
  • My predicted record: 1-9
  • My record at predicting their record: 8-2
  • Points scored for me with wins: 0
  • Points scored for me with losses: +91
  • Points taken from me with wins: -3
  • Points taken from me with losses: -8
  • Plus/Minus: +80

2. (2) DETROIT LIONS
  • Last week: Lost to Dallas, 35-19 (+8)
  • Actual Record: 2-8
  • My predicted record: 1-9
  • My record at predicting their record: 9-1
  • Points scored for me with wins:+1
  • Points scored for me with losses: +84
  • Points taken from me with wins: -6
  • Points taken from me with losses: 0
  • Plus/Minus: +79

3. (1) BUFFALO BILLS
  • Last week: Beat Cincinnati, 49-31 (-9)
  • Actual Record: 2-8
  • My predicted record: 2-8
  • My record at predicting their record: 7-3
  • Points scored for me with wins: +2
  • Points scored for me with losses: +82
  • Points taken from me with wins: -9
  • Points taken from me with losses: -2
  • Plus/Minus: +73

4. (9) BALTIMORE RAVENS
  • Last week: Beat Carolina, 37-13 (+16)
  • Actual Record: 7-3
  • My predicted record: 9-1
  • My record at predicting their record: 6-4
  • Points scored for me with wins: +65
  • Points scored for me with losses: 0
  • Points taken from me with wins: -4
  • Points taken from me with losses: -6
  • Plus/Minus: +55

4. (4) MINNESOTA VIKINGS
  • Last week: Lost to Green Bay, 31-3 (+6)
  • Actual Record: 3-7
  • My predicted record: 4-6
  • My record at predicting their record: 9-1
  • Points scored for me with wins: +25
  • Points scored for me with losses: +44
  • Points taken from me with wins: 0
  • Points taken from me with losses: -14
  • Plus/Minus: +55








4. (7) ARIZONA CARDINALS
  • Last week: Lost to Kansas City, 31-13 (+14)
  • Actual Record: 3-7
  • My predicted record: 3-7
  • My record at predicting their record: 8-2
  • Points scored for me with wins: +21
  • Points scored for me with losses: +50
  • Points taken from me with wins: -11
  • Points taken from me with losses: -5
  • Plus/Minus: +55

7. (6) ATLANTA FALCONS
  • Last week: Beat St. Louis, 34-17 (+7)
  • Actual Record: 8-2
  • My predicted record: 9-1
  • My record at predicting their record: 7-3
  • Points scored for me with wins: +54
  • Points scored for me with losses: 0
  • Points taken from me with wins: -1
  • Points taken from me with losses: -4
  • Plus/Minus: +49


8. (8) INDIANAPOLIS COLTS
  • Last week: Lost to New England, 31-28 (+5)
  • Actual Record: 6-4
  • My predicted record: 9-1
  • My record at predicting their record: 7-3
  • Points scored for me with wins: +59
  • Points scored for me with losses: +5
  • Points taken from me with wins: 0
  • Points taken from me with losses: -19
  • Plus/Minus: +45

9. (11) NEW YORK JETS
  • Last week: Beat Houston, 30-27 (+10)
  • Actual Record: 8-2
  • My predicted record: 7-3
  • My record at predicting their record: 7-3
  • Points scored for me with wins: +51
  • Points scored for me with losses: +3
  • Points taken from me with wins: -5
  • Points taken from me with losses: -7
  • Plus/Minus: +42


10. (10) PHILADELPHIA EAGLES
  • Last week: Beat New York Giants, 27-17 (+3)
  • Actual Record: 7-3
  • My predicted record: 6-4
  • My record at predicting their record: 7-3
  • Points scored for me with wins: +38
  • Points scored for me with losses: +12
  • Points taken from me with wins: -3
  • Points taken from me with losses: -7
  • Plus/Minus: +40


11. (11) GREEN BAY PACKERS
  • Last week: Beat Minnesota, 31-3 (+6)
  • Actual Record: 7-3
  • My predicted record: 9-1
  • My record at predicting their record: 6-4
  • Points scored for me with wins: +62
  • Points scored for me with losses: 0
  • Points taken from me with wins: -7
  • Points taken from me with losses: -17
  • Plus/Minus: +38


12. (13) OAKLAND RAIDERS
  • Last week: Lost to Pittsburgh, 35-3 (+12)
  • Actual Record: 5-5
  • My predicted record: 3-7
  • My record at predicting their record: 8-2
  • Points scored for me with wins: +11
  • Points scored for me with losses: +50
  • Points taken from me with wins: -24
  • Points taken from me with losses: 0
  • Plus/Minus: +37

13. (5) CINCINNATI BENGALS
  • Last week: Lost to Buffalo, 49-31 (-9)
  • Actual Record: 2-8
  • My predicted record: 3-7
  • My record at predicting their record: 7-3
  • Points scored for me with wins: +10
  • Points scored for me with losses: +50
  • Points taken from me with wins: -4
  • Points taken from me with losses: -21
  • Plus/Minus: +35


14. (17) NEW ORLEANS SAINTS
  • Last week: Beat Seattle, 34-19 (+15)
  • Actual Record: 7-3
  • My predicted record: 8-2
  • My record at predicting their record: 7-3
  • Points scored for me with wins: +63
  • Points scored for me with losses: +1
  • Points taken from me with wins: -9
  • Points taken from me with losses: -24
  • Plus/Minus: +31

15. (21) KANSAS CITY CHIEFS
  • Last week: Beat Kansas City, 31-13 (+14)
  • Actual Record: 6-4
  • My predicted record: 4-6
  • My record at predicting their record: 6-4
  • Points scored for me with wins: +39
  • Points scored for me with losses: +19
  • Points taken from me with wins: -23
  • Points taken from me with losses: -10
  • Plus/Minus: +25

16. (16) NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS
  • Last week: Beat Indianapolis, 31-28 (+5)
  • Actual Record: 8-2
  • My predicted record: 8-2
  • My record at predicting their record: 6-4
  • Points scored for me with wins: +47
  • Points scored for me with losses: 0
  • Points taken from me with wins: -12
  • Points taken from me with losses: -11
  • Plus/Minus: +24

17. (14) NEW YORK GIANTS
  • Last week: Lost to Philadelphia, 27-17 (+3)
  • Actual Record: 6-4
  • My predicted record: 6-4
  • My record at predicting their record: 6-4
  • Points scored for me with wins: +36
  • Points scored for me with losses: +13
  • Points taken from me with wins: -9
  • Points taken from me with losses: -17
  • Plus/Minus: +23

18. (23) DENVER BRONCOS
  • Last week: Lost to San Diego, 35-14 (+13)
  • Actual Record: 3-7
  • My predicted record: 3-7
  • My record at predicting their record: 6-4
  • Points scored for me with wins: +2
  • Points scored for me with losses: +48
  • Points taken from me with wins: -16
  • Points taken from me with losses: -13
  • Plus/Minus: +21

19. (14) SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS
  • Last week: Lost to Tampa Bay, 21-0 (-1)
  • Actual Record: 3-7
  • My predicted record: 6-4
  • My record at predicting their record: 5-5
  • Points scored for me with wins: +13
  • Points scored for me with losses: +27
  • Points taken from me with wins: -3
  • Points taken from me with losses: -18
  • Plus/Minus: +19

20. (22) ST. LOUIS RAMS

  • Last week: Lost to Atlanta, 34-17 (+7)
  • Actual Record: 4-6
  • My predicted record: 1-9
  • My record at predicting their record: 7-3
  • Points scored for me with wins:+8
  • Points scored for me with losses: +38
  • Points taken from me with wins: -29
  • Points taken from me with losses: 0
  • Plus/Minus: +17

20. (25) HOUSTON TEXANS
  • Last week: Lost to New York Jets, 30-27 (+10)
  • Actual Record: 4-6
  • My predicted record: 6-4
  • My record at predicting their record: 6-4
  • Points scored for me with wins: +19
  • Points scored for me with losses: +22
  • Points taken from me with wins: -6
  • Points taken from me with losses: -18
  • Plus/Minus: +17

22. (17) TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS
  • Last week: Beat San Francisco, 21-0 (-1)
  • Actual Record: 7-3
  • My predicted record: 3-7
  • My record at predicting their record: 6-4
  • Points scored for me with wins: +19
  • Points scored for me with losses: +21
  • Points taken from me with wins: -25
  • Points taken from me with losses: 0
  • Plus/Minus: +15

22. (26) PITTSBURGH STEELERS
  • Last week: Beat Oakland, 35-3 (+12)
  • Actual Record: 7-3
  • My predicted record: 8-2
  • My record at predicting their record: 5-5
  • Points scored for me with wins: +48
  • Points scored for me with losses: 0
  • Points taken from me with wins: -9
  • Points taken from me with losses: -24
  • Plus/Minus: +15

24. (17) JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS
  • Last week: Beat Cleveland, 24-20 (-2)
  • Actual Record: 6-4
  • My predicted record: 1-9
  • My record at predicting their record: 5-5
  • Points scored for me with wins: +1
  • Points scored for me with losses: +48
  • Points taken from me with wins: -35
  • Points taken from me with losses: 0
  • Plus/Minus: +14

25. (20) CLEVELAND BROWNS
  • Last week: Lost to Jacksonville, 24-20 (-2)
  • Actual Record: 3-7
  • My predicted record: 4-6
  • My record at predicting their record: 5-5
  • Points scored for me with wins: +1
  • Points scored for me with losses: +40
  • Points taken from me with wins: -21
  • Points taken from me with losses: -7
  • Plus/Minus: +13

26. (29) SEATTLE SEAHAWKS

  • Last week: Lost to New Orleans, 34-19 (+15)
  • Actual Record: 5-5
  • My predicted record: 2-8
  • My record at predicting their record: 5-5
  • Points scored for me with wins: +9
  • Points scored for me with losses: +28
  • Points taken from me with wins: -34
  • Points taken from me with losses: -5
  • Plus/Minus: -2

27. (23) TENNESSEE TITANS
  • Last week: Lost to Washington, 19-16 [OT] (-11)
  • Actual Record: 5-5
  • My predicted record: 7-3
  • My record at predicting their record: 4-6
  • Points scored for me with wins: +32
  • Points scored for me with losses: +4
  • Points taken from me with wins: -11
  • Points taken from me with losses: -28
  • Plus/Minus: -3

28. (29) SAN DIEGO CHARGERS
  • Last week: Beat Denver, 35-14 (+13)
  • Actual Record: 5-5
  • My predicted record: 9-1
  • My record at predicting their record: 6-4
  • Points scored for me with wins: +44
  • Points scored for me with losses: +2
  • Points taken from me with wins: 0
  • Points taken from me with losses: -50
  • Plus/Minus: -4

29. (27) MIAMI DOLPHINS
  • Last week: Lost to Chicago, 16-0 (-4)
  • Actual Record: 5-5
  • My predicted record: 4-6
  • My record at predicting their record: 5-5
  • Points scored for me with wins: +14
  • Points scored for me with losses: +12
  • Points taken from me with wins: -26
  • Points taken from me with losses: -6
  • Plus/Minus: -6

30. (28) CHICAGO BEARS
  • Last week: Beat Miami, 16-0 (-4)
  • Actual Record: 7-3
  • My predicted record: 7-3
  • My record at predicting their record: 4-6
  • Points scored for me with wins: +29
  • Points scored for me with losses: 0
  • Points taken from me with wins: -19
  • Points taken from me with losses: -19
  • Plus/Minus: -9

31. (32) DALLAS COWBOYS
  • Last week: Beat Detroit, 35-19 (+8)
  • Actual Record: 3-7
  • My predicted record: 5-5
  • My record at predicting their record: 4-6
  • Points scored for me with wins: +8
  • Points scored for me with losses: +18
  • Points taken from me with wins: -19
  • Points taken from me with losses: -41
  • Plus/Minus: -34

32. (31) WASHINGTON REDSKINS
  • Last week: Beat Tennessee, 19-16 [OT] (-11)
  • Actual Record: 5-5
  • My predicted record: 2-8
  • My record at predicting their record: 3-7
  • Points scored for me with wins: 0
  • Points scored for me with losses: +19
  • Points taken from me with wins: -37
  • Points taken from me with losses: -19
  • Plus/Minus: -37

The four-point spot remains my one area with a losing record and I'll need to turn it around there rather quickly if I don't want to end up with a sub-.500 mark for the year there. Otherwise, pretty decent:

16-point games: 3-1
15-point games: 4-0

14-point games: 6-3
13-point games: 9-2
12-point games: 7-4
11-point games: 6-5
10-point games: 8-3
9-point games: 8-3
8-point games: 6-5
7-point games: 7-4
6-point games: 6-5
5-point games: 7-4
4-point games: 4-7
3-point games: 6-5
2-point games: 6-5
1-point games: 6-5

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