Sunday, December 19, 2010

Week 15 Picks: Desperate measures

I don't know which start you'd consider more baffling, but either way it appears that both Tim Tebow and Rex Grossman will be under center for the Denver Broncos and Washington Redskins respectively as those two teams compete to be the national laughing stock for the week. My money's on dear old Sexy Rexy to be the bigger disaster, but I don't believe that's any sort of tiebreaker in either pool this week.

Of course, around these parts, we're a little more concerned with the college stadium that the Minnesota Vikings will be utilizing in order to host our hometown Bears on Monday evening. That whole situation would be extremely laughable (have fun picking which of the 63,000 ticket holders get to come into the 50,000 capacity venue—although the total absence of alcohol sales will probably help) if the field's conditions and the possible injuries it might cause weren't a real concern. The Bears could simultaneously win the division and see their playoff hopes crushed if, say, Jay Cutler were to suffer another concussion.

I'll try to think positive.

Here's how the usual five hypotheticals looked at about 1:00 A.M. CST on Sunday morning:

PFW Spread
Yahoo Users
Wunderdog
Brian Burke
My Numbers
16
(9)
15.5
(95%)
16
(28-16)
16
(.92)
16
(126)
14
(6 ½)
15.5
(95%)
15
(27-18)
15
(.82)
15
(115)
14
(6 ½)
14
(94%)
14

(22-15)
14

(.76)
14
(100)
14
(6 ½)
13
(92%)
13
(27-21)
13

(.75)
13
(95)
11.5
(6)
11.5

(91%)
12
(19-12)
12
(.70)
12

(71)
11.5
(6)
11.5

(91%)
11

(23-17)
11
(.69)
11
(69)
9.5

(5 ½)
10
(90%)
10
(26-20)
9.5
(.67)
10
(49)
9.5

(5 ½)
9

(87%)
9
(24-18)
9.5

(.67)
9
(47)
8
(5)
8

(85%)
8

(24-19)
7.5
(.65)
8
(38)
5.5
(3)
7
(84%)
7
(27-22)
7.5
(.65)
7

(35)
5.5
(3)
6
(72%)
6
(19-17)
6
(.64)
6
(27)
5.5
(3)
5
(64%)
5
(21-20)
4.5
(.60)
5
(25)
5.5
(3)
4
(58%)
4

(25-23)
4.5
(.60)
4
(22)
3
(2 ½)
3

(57%)
3

(24-23)
3
(.57)
3

(18)
2

(2)
2
(54%)
2
(23-22)
2
(.54)
2

(14)
1

(E)
1

(53%)
1

(21-20)
1

(.51)
1

(7)
86.5 points (10-6) 98 points (10-6) 101 points (10-6) 92 points (11-5) 67 points (8-8)

And here's how my own final picks will look:

16 points
San Diego Chargers
(7-6) over San Francisco 49ers (5-8)
+3/+1 : +38/35/+3 : +2/+35


15 points
Miami Dolphins (7-6) over Buffalo Bills (3-10)
+4/-26 : +100/126/-26 : 0/+96


14 points
Oakland Raiders (6-7) over Denver Broncos (3-10)
+11/+34 : +56/49/+7 : -27/+45


13 points
Pittsburgh Steelers (10-3) over New York Jets (9-4)
+55/-12 : +53/18/+35 : +47/-2


12 points
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (8-5) over Detroit Lions (3-10)
+20/+16 : +112/95/+17 : +1/+92


11 points
Atlanta Falcons (11-2) over Seattle Seahawks (6-7)
+73/-7 : +80/69/+11 : +18/+7



10 points
Indianapolis Colts (7-6) over Jacksonville Jaguars (8-5)
+30/+5 : +50/38/+12 : +7/+20


9 points
Dallas Cowboys
(4-9) over Washington Redskins (5-8)
-33/+6 : -43/25/-18 : -24/-10


8 points
Chicago Bears (9-4) over Minnesota Vikings (5-8)
+25/-21 : +71/71/0 : +21/+46



7 points
New England Patriots (11-2) over Green Bay Packers (8-5)
+53/-13 : +46/22/+24 : +37/-7


6 points
Kansas City Chiefs
(8-5) over St. Louis Cardinals (6-7)
+51/+7 : +67/47/+20 : +13/+16


5 points
New York Giants (9-4) over Philadelphia Eagles (9-4)
+46/+4 : +55/14/+41 : +37/+9


4 points
Cincinnati Bengals (2-11) over Cleveland Browns (5-8)
-11/+94 : 0/100/+100 : +6/+11


3 points
Tennessee Titans (5-8) over Houston Texans (5-8
)
-4/-4 : +24/27/-3 : +1/+28


2 points 
New Orleans Saints (10-3) over Baltimore Ravens (9-4)
+80/-8 : +76/7/+69 : +77/-4


1 point
Carolina Panthers (1-12) over Arizona Cardinals (5-9)
-8/+130 : +31/115/+146 : +16/+39

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